This content is restricted to those people currently on the "weekend notes" email distribution. If you are currently on that distribution and would like access, please contact Eric Peters directly and we will provide a Username and Password.
Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: China ind production +6.8% (fixed asset investment +8.3%, retail sales +10.4%), PBOC fixes CNY 1yr high, Japan Q2 GDP +4.0% on strong domestic demand and capital investment (fastest GDP since Q1 2015), Germany’s Schulz insists he can beat Merkel Sept 24th, Schaeuble “ECB to quit ultra-loose policies in foreseeable future,” Fed’s Dudley “expects to hike once more this year
Hope all goes well… Dusted off an anecdote from 2013 about standing up, (see below). I take my late-summers off from writing, to squeeze in a little more reading. See you again in Sept with full weekend notes. Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: China ind production +6.8% (fixed asset investment +8.3%, retail sales +10.4%), PBOC fixes CNY 1yr high, Japan Q2 GDP +4.0% on strong domestic demand and capital in
Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: HK dollar nears decade low vs US dollar, iron ore prices +7%, Indonesia GDP +5.0%, South Africa to hold Zuma no-confidence vote, UBS “pilotless planes could save airlines $35bln,” UK home prices +2.1%, German industrial output -2.6 to +2.4%, Fed’s Bullard “even if unemployment rate continues to fall, the effect on inflation likely to be small,” VIX hits 50yr low, credit c
Hope all goes well… Dusted off an anecdote from 2011 about castles made of sand (see below). I take my late-summers off from writing, to squeeze in a little more reading. See you again in September with full weekend notes. Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: HK dollar nears decade low vs US dollar, iron ore prices +7%, Indonesia GDP +5.0%, South Africa to hold Zuma no-confidence vote, UBS “pilotless planes
Hope all goes well… In place of weekend notes, I wrote a piece titled: The Case for Long Volatility (see below). We see a compelling opportunity developing in the months ahead and are launching a fund to capture it. Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: China services PMI -0.4 to 54.5, Japan IP -1.6 to +4.9%, iron ore prices 4mth high, EU CPI unch at +1.3%, EU unemployment 9.1% (2009 lows), US issues sanction
Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: China services PMI -0.4 to 54.5, Japan IP -1.6 to +4.9%, iron ore prices 4mth high, EU CPI unch at +1.3%, EU unemployment 9.1% (2009 lows), US issues sanction on Venezuela’s Maduro after fraudulent vote (labels him dictator), S&P 500 rises for 4th month (dollar index worst first 7mths of year in 31yrs), pending home sales jump (1st time in 4mths), S&P -0.1%; Tue:
Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: Abe denies cronyism (approval rating falls below 30), Japan manu PMI -0.2 to 52.2, IMF upgrades EU GDP +0.2 to +1.9% (lowers UK -0.3 to +1.7%), EU to retaliate against US if Russia sanctions target EU companies, Brazil considers unlocking highway infrastructure spending, S&P +0.1%; Tue: China’s Xi pledges “structural reforms and steady GDP,” Chinese fighter intercepts
Hope all goes well… Dusted off an anecdote from 2012 about training, climbing (see below). I take my late-summers off from writing, and try to squeeze in a little more reading. See you again in Sept with full weekend notes. But expect something sooner from me on volatility. An opportunity approaches, we’re launching a fund to capture it. Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: Abe denies cronyism (approval rati
“Every morning when I wake, I experience an exquisite joy — the joy of being Salvador Dalí — and I ask myself in rapture: What wonderful things is this Salvador Dalí going to accomplish today?” declared inspiration-incarnate, exhumed, his pencil mustache perfectly preserved, curled upward just so. An alleged love-child had demanded a DNA test. Spain acquiesced. “I always saw what others could not see,” ex